Australian A-League | Gameweek 11

Jan 5, 2024 at 8.45am UK

Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Macarthur
1 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Germain (90+9' pen.)
Jurman (14'), Uskok (90+1'), Germain (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Taylor (9')
Grozos (89'), Cancar (90+8')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 3-1 Macarthur
Monday, January 1 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-0 Western Utd
Saturday, December 30 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.2%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Newcastle Jets
50.7% ( 0.3)	21.4% ( 0.09)	27.9% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 67.07% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.15% (

-0.76)

31.84% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.62% (

-0.89)

53.38% (

0.89)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.97% (

-0.18)

13.03% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.42% (

-0.36)

39.58% (

0.36)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.12% (

-0.63)

22.88% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.38% (

-0.94)

56.62% (

0.94)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 50.7%

Newcastle Jets 27.9%

Draw 21.4%

Macarthur	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.3% Total : 50.7%	1-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.4%	1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.08% Total : 27.9%