Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 83.4%. A draw had a probability of 11.54% and a win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 5.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.64%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.48%) , while for a Akron Tolyatti win it was 0-1 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood.