Scottish League One Gameweek 16
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
LIVE Bayview Stadium

East Fife vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

East Fife

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Stenhousemuir 0 - 0 East Fife
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Gregor Nicol

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Cove Rangers 0 - 0 Inverness
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Luis Longstaff

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-0 (6.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

East Fife 26.42% (-0.30)
Draw 24.04% (-0.11)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 49.5% (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.66% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.61% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 23.39% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 53.77% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 46.23% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 31.64% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 68.36% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 18.41% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 81.59% (-0.21)

First Half Winner

East Fife 22.95%
Draw 38.68%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 38.37%

Team To Score First

East Fife 37.29% (+0.54)
No Goal 6.41% (+0.20)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 56.3% (-0.73)

Corners

Over 8 56.02% (+3.29)
Equal 8 11.41% (+0.06)
Under 8 32.57% (-3.33)
Over 9 44.55% (+2.94)
Equal 9 11.47% (+0.34)
Under 9 43.98% (-3.29)
Over 10.5 33.95% (+2.42)
Under 10.5 66.05% (-2.41)

East Fife Goals

Over 1.5 29.51% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 70.49% (+0.32)
Over 2.5 10.32% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 89.68% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 3.03% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 96.97% (+0.07)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 78.39% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 21.61% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 48.13% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 51.87% (-0.50)
Over 2.5 22.84% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 77.16% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 9.11% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 90.89% (-0.16)

Score analysis

East Fife 26.41%
Draw 24.04%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 49.5%
East Fife
1-0 @ 6.73% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 6.57% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 3.98% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.56% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.13% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.94% (+0.03)
Total : 26.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 6.41% (+0.20)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.09)
Total : 24.04%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
0-1 @ 10.2% (-0.28)
1-2 @ 9.72% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 7.93% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 5.16% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 4.34% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.13% (+0.07)
Other @ 9.02% (+0.25)
Total : 49.5%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Cup
Nov 14, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Shane Sutherland 64' goal
  • yellowcard Scott Agnew 33'