Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 49.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.64% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 25.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%) , while for a East Fife win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.