Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.57% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%) , while for a Arbroath win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
| 53.78% | 25.57% | 20.65% |
| Both teams to score 45.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.15% | 56.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.22% | 77.78% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.81% | 21.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.93% | 54.07% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.39% | 42.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.04% | 78.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 14.01% 2-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 9.27% 3-0 @ 5.62% 3-1 @ 4.8% 4-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.13% Total : 53.77% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 9.03% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 7.7% 1-2 @ 5.1% 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.13% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.05% Total : 20.65% |