Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.57% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%) , while for a Arbroath win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.