Scottish Challenge Cup
Dec 16, 2025 7.45pm
0
9
HT : 0 7
FT
  • Aron Lynas 41' yellowcard
  • Aedan Gilfedder 80' yellowcard
  • goal Alfie Bavidge 4'
  • goal Calum Macleod 21'
  • goal Billy Mckay 23'
  • goal Alfie Bavidge 27'
  • goal Alfie Bavidge 31'
  • goal Alfie Bavidge 37'
  • goal Luis Longstaff 43'
  • goal Ross Millen 65'
  • yellowcard Remi Savage 71'
  • yellowcard Remi Savage 72'
  • goal Billy Mckay 81'

Dumbarton vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.72% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 18.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.57%) and 0-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%) , while for a Dumbarton win it was 2-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-9 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result

Dumbarton 18.33%
Draw 20.72%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 60.94%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.37%

Goals

Over 2.5 59.86%
Under 2.5 40.13%
Over 3.5 37.5%
Under 3.5 62.5%
Over 4.5 20.17%
Under 4.5 79.83%

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5 64.59%
Under 0.5 35.4%
Over 1.5 27.83%
Under 1.5 72.16%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 87.26%
Under 0.5 12.73%
Over 1.5 61.02%
Under 1.5 38.97%

Score analysis

Dumbarton 18.33%
Draw 20.72%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 60.94%
Dumbarton
2-1 @ 5.01%
1-0 @ 4.68%
2-0 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 1.79%
3-1 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 18.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.65%
2-2 @ 5.16%
0-0 @ 4.51%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.72%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-2 @ 9.57%
0-1 @ 9.29%
1-3 @ 6.83%
0-3 @ 6.58%
2-3 @ 3.55%
1-4 @ 3.52%
0-4 @ 3.39%
2-4 @ 1.83%
1-5 @ 1.45%
0-5 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 60.94%

Head to Head

Scottish League One Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Matthew Shiels 19' yellowcard
  • Aron Lynas 51' yellowcard
  • Aron Lynas 51' yellowcard
  • Michael Miller 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Brannan 25'
  • goal Alfie Bavidge 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Alfie Bavidge 90'+4'
Scottish League One Gameweek 20
Jan 4, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Alfie Bavidge 15' goal
  • Charlie Gilmour 68' goal
  • yellowcard Matthew Shiels 60'
  • yellowcard Craig McGuffie 88'
Scottish League One Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 2
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • James Hilton 14' goal
  • James Hilton 14' goal
  • Ryan Blair 63' goal
  • Ryan Blair 63' goal
  • James Hilton 72' goal
  • David Wilson 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Nolan 21'
  • yellowcard James Nolan 21'
  • goal Jake Davidson 28'
  • goal Jake Davidson 28'
  • yellowcard Remi Savage 56'
  • yellowcard Remi Savage 56'
Scottish League One Gameweek 1
Aug 3, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Daniel Devine 44' goal
  • Adam Brooks 57' yellowcard
  • 85' yellowcard
  • Daniel Devine 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Hilton 26'
  • yellowcard Mouhamed Niang 55'
  • goal Carlo Pignatiello 59'
  • redcard Mouhamed Niang 79'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 18, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Ryan Wallace 27' goal
  • Tony Wallace 50' goal
  • goal Billy Mckay 76'
Scottish Championship
Apr 18, 2018 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Cheaper Insurance Direct Stadium (Dumbarton)
  • Dougie Hill 47' yellowcard
  • Kyle Hutton 76' yellowcard
  • goal Iain Vigurs 56'
  • yellowcard Brad McKay 57'
  • yellowcard Coll Donaldson 87'