Dumbarton
Scottish Challenge Cup
Dec 16, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
Inverness CT

Dumbarton
0-9
InvernessInverness Caledonian Thistle

FT(HT: 0-7)
Bavidge (4', 27', 31', 37'), Macleod (21'), Mckay (23', 81'), Longstaff (43'), Millen (65' pen.)
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Round of 32 clash between Dumbarton and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Dumbarton 0-9 Inverness
Tuesday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Next Game: Stranraer vs. Dumbarton
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Dumbarton 0-9 Inverness
Tuesday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Next Game: Stenhousemuir vs. Inverness
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Scottish League One
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.72% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 18.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.57%) and 0-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%) , while for a Dumbarton win it was 2-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-9 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
DumbartonDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
18.33%20.72%60.94%
Both teams to score 56.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.86%40.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.5%62.5%
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.59%35.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.83%72.16%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.26%12.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.02%38.97%
Score Analysis
    Dumbarton 18.33%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 60.94%
    Draw 20.72%
DumbartonDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
2-1 @ 5.01%
1-0 @ 4.68%
2-0 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 1.79%
3-1 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 18.33%
1-1 @ 9.65%
2-2 @ 5.16%
0-0 @ 4.51%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.72%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-2 @ 9.57%
0-1 @ 9.29%
1-3 @ 6.83%
0-3 @ 6.58%
2-3 @ 3.55%
1-4 @ 3.52%
0-4 @ 3.39%
2-4 @ 1.83%
1-5 @ 1.45%
0-5 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 60.94%

Head to Head
Mar 8, 2025 3pm
gameweek 28
Dumbarton
0-1
Inverness

Shiels (19'), Lynas (51'), Lynas (51'), Miller (89')
Bavidge (90+2')
Brannan (25'), Bavidge (90+4')
Jan 4, 2025 3pm
gameweek 20
Inverness
2-0
Dumbarton
Bavidge (15'), Gilmour (68')

Shiels (60'), McGuffie (88')
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
gameweek 11
Dumbarton
3-1
Inverness
Hilton (14', 14', 72'), Blair (63', 63')
Wilson (80')
Davidson (28', 28')
Nolan (21'), Nolan (21'), Savage (56'), Savage (56')
Aug 3, 2024 3pm
gameweek 1
Inverness
1-1
Dumbarton
Devine (44')
Brooks (57'), (85'), Devine (85')
Pignatiello (59')
Hilton (26'), Niang (55')
Niang (79')
Jul 18, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Dumbarton
2-1
Inverness
Wallace (27'), Wallace (50')
Mckay (76')