Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.52% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%) , while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.