Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.52% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%) , while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 20.86% ( | 23.52% ( | 55.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.18% ( | 48.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.08% ( | 70.92% ( |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.21% ( | 37.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.44% ( | 74.57% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.61% ( | 17.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.19% ( | 47.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 6.4% ( 2-1 @ 5.44% 2-0 @ 3.11% ( 3-1 @ 1.77% ( 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.59% Total : 20.86% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 2-2 @ 4.76% ( Other @ 1% Total : 23.52% | 0-1 @ 11.49% ( 0-2 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0-3 @ 5.86% ( 1-3 @ 5.71% ( 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0-4 @ 2.56% ( 1-4 @ 2.5% ( 2-4 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 3.67% Total : 55.61% |