Scottish League One
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Leyton Grant 39' yellowcard
  • 39' yellowcard
  • Leyton Grant 44' yellowcard
  • Ross Taylor 55' yellowcard
  • Archie Graham 60' yellowcard
  • 60' yellowcard
  • Olly Whyte 65' goal
  • Matthew Aitken 79' yellowcard
  • Leyton Grant 84' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • Leyton Grant 85' redcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Devine 26'

Stenhousemuir vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Montrose 3 - 0 Stenhousemuir
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Olly Whyte

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Inverness 4 - 0 Hamilton
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Alfie Bavidge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.52% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 20.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%) , while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Stenhousemuir 20.86% (+0.01)
Draw 23.52% (+0.02)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 55.62% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.39% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.18% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 48.82% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 29.08% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 70.92% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 14.04% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 85.96% (+0.04)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5 62.21% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 37.79% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 25.44% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 74.57% (+0.03)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 82.61% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 17.39% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 52.19% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 47.81% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Stenhousemuir 20.86%
Draw 23.52%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 55.61%
Stenhousemuir
1-0 @ 6.4% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 5.44%
2-0 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.77% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 20.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.57% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 23.52%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
0-1 @ 11.49% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 10.05%
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.86% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.71% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.56% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.5% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 55.61%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 34
Apr 19, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ochilview Park
  • Matthew Aitken 62' yellowcard
  • Charlie Gilmour 90'+1' goal
  • goal Billy Mckay 56'
  • yellowcard Charlie Gilmour 90'+1'
Scottish League One Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2025 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Ben Brannan 2' goal
  • Charlie Gilmour 16' goal
  • Keith Bray 48' goal
  • Paul Allan 51' goal
  • Paul Allan 60' yellowcard
  • Keith Bray 63' yellowcard
  • goal Ewan O'Reilly 10'
  • yellowcard Michael Anderson 72'
  • yellowcard 76'
Scottish League One Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ochilview Park
  • Matt Yates 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Devine 62'
  • goal Paul Allan 86'
Scottish League One Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Daniel Devine 17' yellowcard
  • Billy Mckay 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Berry 45'