Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 38.96% | 24.18% | 36.86% |
| Both teams to score 60.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.24% | 41.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.83% | 64.16% |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% | 21.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.43% | 54.57% |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% | 22.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.83% | 56.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% 1-0 @ 7.46% 2-0 @ 5.73% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-2 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.96% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 6.35% 0-0 @ 4.86% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-1 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 5.38% 1-3 @ 4.1% 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.67% 1-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.37% Total : 36.86% |