Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.