Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
| 39.02% | 25.8% | 35.18% |
| Both teams to score 54.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.61% | 49.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.57% | 71.43% |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.12% | 24.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.51% | 59.49% |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% | 27.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.6% | 62.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.67% Total : 39.02% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 6.73% 2-2 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.8% 1-2 @ 8% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.06% Total : 35.18% |