Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 33.42% | 25.33% | 41.25% |
| Both teams to score 56.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.34% | 47.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.15% | 69.85% |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.72% | 27.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.29% | 62.71% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% | 22.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.25% | 56.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 8.14% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 5.29% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.42% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 9.22% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-2 @ 6.78% 1-3 @ 4.32% 0-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.16% Total : 41.25% |