Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.83% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%) , while for a Montrose win it was 2-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.