Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Montrose
Scottish League One
Dec 27, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Inverness CT

2-1

Lyons (63'), Dillon (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stewart (2')
Millen (65')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Montrose and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montrose 2-1 Inverness
Saturday, December 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Next Game: Cove Rangers vs. Montrose
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Montrose 2-1 Inverness
Saturday, December 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Next Game: Inverness vs. Peterhead
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.83% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%) , while for a Montrose win it was 2-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
MontroseDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
21.5% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)21.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)56.67% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.94% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.42% (0.034999999999997 0.03)40.58% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.03% (0.036000000000001 0.04)62.96% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Montrose Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.5% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)69.03% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.84% (0.024000000000001 0.02)14.16% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.15% (0.042000000000002 0.04)41.84% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Montrose 21.5%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 56.67%
    Draw 21.83%
MontroseDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
2-1 @ 5.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 5.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.91% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 21.5%
1-1 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-1 @ 9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.79%
1-3 @ 6.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 5.73% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 3.62% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 3.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 2.8% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.23% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 56.67%

Head to Head
Nov 1, 2025 3pm
Aug 23, 2025 3pm
May 3, 2025 3pm
gameweek 36
Montrose
0-2
Inverness

Machado (41')
Allan (45+2'), Mckay (61')
(84')
Mar 1, 2025 3pm
gameweek 27
Inverness
1-1
Montrose
Bray (81')
Gilmour (41')
Sandilands (34')
Steeves (84')
Dec 7, 2024 3pm
gameweek 16
Montrose
2-3
Inverness
Webster (27'), Lyons (38')
Lyons (32'), Masson (40'), Brown (88')
Steeves (74')
Longstaff (64'), Allan (88', 90+4')