Scottish League One
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Blair Lyons 63' goal
  • 67' yellowcard
  • Cameron Gill 67' yellowcard
  • Sean Dillon 74' goal
  • Cammy Gill 82' yellowcard
  • 82' yellowcard
  • goal Alfie Stewart 2'
  • yellowcard Luis Longstaff 42'
  • redcard <TBD> 63'
  • redcard Ross Millen 65'

Montrose vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montrose

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
QotS 1 - 0 Montrose
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Callum Sandilands

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Inverness
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Alfie Bavidge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.83% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%) , while for a Montrose win it was 2-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Montrose 21.5% (-0.02)
Draw 21.83% (-0.01)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 56.67% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.94% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.42% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 40.58% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 37.03% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 62.96% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 19.81% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 80.19% (-0.03)

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5 67.5% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 32.5% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 30.97% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 69.03% (+0.01)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 85.84% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 14.16% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 58.15% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 41.84% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Montrose 21.5%
Draw 21.83%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 56.67%
Montrose
2-1 @ 5.68% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.17% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.91% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.13% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 21.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 5.55% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.83%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-1 @ 9% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.79%
1-3 @ 6.44% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.73% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.62% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.15% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.77% (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.23% (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 56.67%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 36
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Links Park
  • Matheus Machado 41' yellowcard
  • goal Paul Allan 45'+2'
  • goal Billy Mckay 61'
  • yellowcard 84'
Scottish League One Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Charlie Gilmour 41' yellowcard
  • Keith Bray 81' goal
  • goal Callum Sandilands 34'
  • yellowcard Andrew Steeves 84'
Scottish League One Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Links Park
  • Graham Webster 27' goal
  • Blair Lyons 32' yellowcard
  • Blair Lyons 38' goal
  • Terry Masson 40' yellowcard
  • Andrew Steeves 74' redcard
  • Craig Brown 88' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Longstaff 64'
  • goal Paul Allan 88'
  • goal Paul Allan 90'+4'
Scottish League One Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Flynn Duffy 39' yellowcard
  • Charlie Gilmour 45' yellowcard
  • Adam Mackinnon 63' goal
  • goal Kane Hester 20'
  • yellowcard Matheus Machado 22'
  • yellowcard Sean Dillon 34'
  • yellowcard Terry Masson 38'
  • redcard Sean Dillon 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Andrew Steeves 72'
  • yellowcard Craig Smith 87'
  • yellowcard Craig Smith 87'