Scottish League One
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kurtis Guthrie 30' yellowcard
  • Michael Hewitt 48' goal
  • Jack Hannah 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Blair Lyons 38'
  • yellowcard Lewis Gibson 57'

Queen of the South vs Montrose - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen of the South

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Alloa 0 - 2 QotS
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Matty Douglas

Montrose

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Montrose 3 - 0 Stenhousemuir
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Callum Sandilands

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (6.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Queen of the South 50.26% (+0.69)
Draw 23.48% (-0.09)
Montrose 26.26% (-0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.99% (-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.86% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 43.14% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 34.46% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 65.54% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 17.86% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 82.14% (+0.08)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5 82.73% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 17.27% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 52.41% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 47.6% (-0.39)

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5 70.09% (-0.51)
Under 0.5 29.91% (+0.52)
Over 1.5 33.99% (-0.62)
Under 1.5 66.01% (+0.63)

Score analysis

Queen of the South 50.26%
Draw 23.47%
Montrose 26.26%
Queen of the South
2-1 @ 9.62% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 9.07% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 7.97% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 5.63% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 4.66% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.47% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.05% (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.49% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 50.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.16% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.47%
Montrose
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.12)
0-1 @ 6.23% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 26.26%

Head to Head

Scottish League One
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 33
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Palmerston Park
  • Adam Brooks 7' goal
  • Liam Smith 13' yellowcard
  • Matty Douglas 32' yellowcard
  • Matty Douglas 32' yellowcard
  • Jordan Allan 61' goal
  • Jordan Allan 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Terry Masson 12'
  • yellowcard Michael Gardyne 14'
  • redcard Terry Masson 39'
  • yellowcard Kieran Freeman 62'
  • goal Blair Lyons 81'
Scottish League One Gameweek 26
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Links Park
  • Blair Lyons 77' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Brooks 20'
  • yellowcard Jordan Allan 46'
  • goal Harry Cochrane 80'
  • goal Fraser Bryden 85'
Scottish League One Gameweek 12
Nov 2, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Palmerston Park
  • Pharrell Willis 18' goal
  • Brennan Dickenson 57' yellowcard
  • Sean Dillon 72' yellowcard
  • Michael Hewitt 90'+6' yellowcard
  • redcard Terry Masson 57'
  • yellowcard Kai Kennedy 72'
  • yellowcard Michael Hewitt 75'
  • yellowcard Graham Webster 75'
  • redcard Michael Gardyne 84'
Scottish League One Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Links Park
  • Craig Brown 21' goal
  • Terry Masson 27' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Brydon 30'
  • yellowcard Kieran McKechnie 64'
  • redcard Harry Cochrane 90'+1'
Scottish League One Gameweek 36
May 4, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Links Park
  • Liam Callaghan 52' goal
  • Aidan Quinn 64' goal
  • Aidan Quinn 82' goal
  • Aidan Quinn 90' yellowcard
  • goal Joel Mumbongo 18'
  • goal Joel Mumbongo 42'