Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (6.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Montrose |
| 50.26% ( | 23.48% ( | 26.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.86% ( | 43.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.46% ( | 65.54% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.73% ( | 17.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.41% ( | 47.6% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.09% ( | 29.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.99% ( | 66.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 4-2 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 3.91% Total : 50.26% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0-1 @ 6.23% ( 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 26.26% |