Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.