Queen of the South
Scottish Challenge Cup
Dec 16, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
Dunfermline Athletic

QotSQueen of the South
4-3
DunfermlineDunfermline Athletic

Guthrie (6'), Stott (11'), O'Donoghue (74'), Dickenson (76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
MacLeod (41'), Stewart (79', 83')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Round of 32 clash between Queen of the South and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen of the South

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Last Game: QotS 4-3 Dunfermline
Tuesday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Next Game: QotS vs. Montrose
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Scottish League One
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Dunfermline Athletic

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Last Game: QotS 4-3 Dunfermline
Tuesday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Next Game: Dunfermline vs. Ayr
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Queen of the SouthDrawDunfermline Athletic
35.8%25.12%39.07%
Both teams to score 57.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.69%46.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.4%68.59%
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77%25.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.02%59.97%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53%23.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.52%57.47%
Score Analysis
    Queen of the South 35.8%
    Dunfermline Athletic 39.07%
    Draw 25.11%
Queen of the SouthDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 8.15%
2-1 @ 8.14%
2-0 @ 5.61%
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 35.8%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 5.92%
2-2 @ 5.9%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 8.58%
1-2 @ 8.57%
0-2 @ 6.22%
1-3 @ 4.14%
0-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.85%
1-4 @ 1.5%
0-4 @ 1.09%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 39.07%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
gameweek 33
Dunfermline
5-0
QotS
Ritchie-Hosler (22'), Todd (39'), Wighton (52', 64'), O'Hara (78')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
gameweek 26
QotS
0-2
Dunfermline
Wighton (22'), Todd (47' og.)
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 17
Dunfermline
1-1
QotS
Todorov (67')
Paton (45')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
QotS
0-2
Dunfermline

McKay (45+1'), Quitongo (49'), Reilly (68'), Murray (90+1')
Todorov (19'), Breen (45+2')
Benedictus (22'), McCann (71'), Mochrie (72'), Hamilton (90+2')
Apr 29, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 36
Dunfermline
1-2
QotS
Edwards (6')
McCann (79')
Chalmers (51' og.), O'Connor (71')
Nditi (75'), Rae (76')