Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 24.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-2 (6.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 52.31% | 22.95% | 24.74% |
| Both teams to score 58.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.89% | 42.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.48% | 64.52% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.85% | 16.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.41% | 45.59% |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.45% | 30.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.22% | 66.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% 1-0 @ 9% 2-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 5.91% 3-0 @ 4.98% 3-2 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.69% 4-0 @ 2.27% 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.44% Total : 52.31% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 5.77% 0-0 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-1 @ 5.85% 0-2 @ 3.47% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.95% Total : 24.74% |