Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 52.21%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
| 52.21% ( | 22.04% ( | 25.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.13% ( | 36.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.95% ( | 59.05% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.68% ( | 14.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.86% ( | 42.14% ( |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.02% ( | 26.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.68% ( | 62.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 3-1 @ 6.19% ( 3-0 @ 4.73% ( 3-2 @ 4.06% ( 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 4-0 @ 2.3% ( 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 5-1 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 4.43% Total : 52.22% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 3-3 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 1-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3% Total : 25.74% |