Australian A-League | Gameweek 1

Oct 21, 2023 at 5.30am UK

Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Macarthur
1 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Borges Rodrigues (52')
Aspropotamitis (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Shea (73')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 0-1 Wellington
Saturday, April 29 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 0-1 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, April 29 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Brisbane Roar
33.46% ( 1.5)	23.38% ( 0.17)	43.17% ( -1.67)

Both teams to score 63.02% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.48% (

-0.25)

38.52% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.18% (

-0.26)

60.82% (

0.26)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.09% (

0.73)

22.9% (

-0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.34% (

1.07)

56.66% (

-1.07)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.74% (

-0.78)

18.25% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.7% (

-1.34)

49.3% (

1.33)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 33.46%

Brisbane Roar 43.17%

Draw 23.38%

Macarthur	Draw	Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.46%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.38%	1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.7% Total : 43.17%