Australian A-League Gameweek 22
Apr 1, 2023 7.00am
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Marco Tulio 15' goal
  • Joshua Nisbet 17' goal
  • Joshua Nisbet 17' goal
  • Jordan Holmes 30' goal
  • Jason Cummings 58' goal
  • goal Jay O'Shea 82'

Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 19, 2023 6.00am
Victory 2 - 0 Central Coast
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Jason Cummings

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 6.00am
Brisbane Roar 1 - 0 Western Utd
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jay O'Shea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.81%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result

Central Coast Mariners 50.81% (-1.17)
Draw 22.83% (+0.32)
Brisbane Roar 26.35% (+0.85)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.32% (-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.9% (-0.74)
Under 2.5 40.09% (+0.73)
Over 3.5 37.54% (-0.76)
Under 3.5 62.46% (+0.76)
Over 4.5 20.2% (-0.60)
Under 4.5 79.8% (+0.59)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5 84.05% (-0.68)
Under 0.5 15.94% (+0.67)
Over 1.5 54.79% (-1.25)
Under 1.5 45.21% (+1.24)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5 71.76% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 28.23% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 36.06% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 63.94% (-0.32)

Score analysis

Central Coast Mariners 50.81%
Draw 22.83%
Brisbane Roar 26.35%
Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 8.26% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.15)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.13)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.08)
Other @ 4.6%
Total : 50.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.45% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 6.07% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.5% (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.83%
Brisbane Roar
1-2 @ 6.61% (+0.17)
0-1 @ 5.69% (+0.23)
0-2 @ 3.6% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 2.79% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.56% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.52% (+0.09)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 26.35%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Feb 10, 2023 8.45am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Suncorp Stadium
  • Jay O'Shea 23' goal
  • goal Marco Tulio 19'
  • goal Beni N'Kololo 69'
Australian A-League Gameweek 9
May 3, 2022 10.05am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Scott Neville 86' redcard
  • goal Lewis Miller 40'
  • yellowcard Jacob Farrell 41'
  • yellowcard Cy Goddard 44'
  • goal Garang Kuol 63'
  • yellowcard Harrison Steele 88'
Australian A-League Gameweek 17
Mar 5, 2022 6.05am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jason Cummings 34' yellowcard
  • Beni N'Kololo 49' goal
  • Nicolai Muller 55' goal
  • Beni N'Kololo 76' yellowcard
  • Mark Birighitti 86' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Lescano 69'
  • yellowcard Corey Brown 80'
  • yellowcard Anton Mlinaric 86'
Australian A-League Gameweek 1
May 12, 2021 10.05am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kai Trewin 29' yellowcard
  • Scott Neville 86' yellowcard
  • Jay O'Shea 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Simon 85'
  • yellowcard Kye Rowles 89'
Australian A-League Gameweek 22
Apr 28, 2021 10.05am
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Gianni Stensness 29' yellowcard
  • Marco Urena 62' redcard
  • Ruan Tongyik 67' yellowcard
  • goal Macaulay Gillesphey 19'
  • yellowcard Rahmat Akbari 44'
  • goal Joseph Champness 56'
  • yellowcard Josh Brindell-South 64'
  • goal Alex Parsons 89'
  • goal Masato Kudo 90'+3'
Australian A-League Gameweek 23
Mar 13, 2020 8.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Scott McDonald 45' goal
  • Aiden O'Neill 84' yellowcard
  • Tom Aldred 86' yellowcard