Australian A-League | Gameweek 22

Apr 1, 2023 at 7am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
4 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Tulio (15'), Nisbet (17', 17'), Holmes (30' og.), Cummings (58' pen.)

FT(HT: 4-0)

O'Shea (82' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 2-0 Central Coast
Sunday, March 19 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-0 Western Utd
Saturday, March 18 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.81%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Brisbane Roar
50.81% ( -1.17)	22.83% ( 0.32)	26.35% ( 0.85)

Both teams to score 60.32% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.9% (

-0.73)

40.09% (

0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.54% (

-0.76)

62.46% (

0.76)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.05% (

-0.67)

15.94% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.79% (

-1.24)

45.21% (

1.24)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.76% (

0.25)

28.23% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.06% (

0.31)

63.94% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 50.81%

Brisbane Roar 26.35%

Draw 22.83%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.81%	1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.83%	1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.59% Total : 26.35%