Australian A-League | Gameweek 16

Feb 10, 2023 at 8.45am UK

Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Roar
1 - 2
Central Coast

O'Shea (23' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Tulio (19'), N'Kololo (69' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 2-1 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, February 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 3-2 Central Coast
Saturday, February 4 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Central Coast Mariners.

Result
Brisbane Roar	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
36.13% ( 0.09)	24.78% ( 0)	39.09% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 58.49% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.31% (

44.68% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.95% (

67.05% (

-0)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.71% (

0.05)

24.29% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.33% (

0.07)

58.67% (

-0.08)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.26% (

-0.05)

22.74% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.59% (

-0.07)

56.41% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Brisbane Roar 36.13%

Central Coast Mariners 39.09%

Draw 24.77%

Brisbane Roar	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 36.13%	1-1 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.77%	1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.09%