Australian A-League | Gameweek 10

Dec 31, 2022 at 8am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
2 - 1
Victory

Cummings (11', 53')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cadete (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Central Coast
Tuesday, December 27 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Victory
Monday, December 26 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne Victory
36.94% ( 0.18)	25.35% ( 0.16)	37.7% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 56.5% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.73% (

-0.71)

47.27% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.5% (

-0.66)

69.5% (

0.66)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.96% (

-0.23)

25.04% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.29% (

-0.32)

59.71% (

0.32)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.38% (

-0.5)

24.62% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.87% (

-0.71)

59.13% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 36.94%

Melbourne Victory 37.7%

Draw 25.35%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne Victory
1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.78% Total : 36.94%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.7%