Australian A-League Gameweek 17
May 2, 2021 7.05am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Callum McManaman 62' goal
  • Storm Roux 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Simon 4'
  • yellowcard Daniel De Silva 61'

Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 27, 2021 10.35am
Sydney FC 1 - 0 Victory
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Rudy Gestede

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 28, 2021 10.05am
Central Coast 0 - 4 Brisbane Roar
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Matt Simon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result

Melbourne Victory 31.63%
Draw 24.46%
Central Coast Mariners 43.91%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.36%

Goals

Over 2.5 55.68%
Under 2.5 44.32%
Over 3.5 33.31%
Under 3.5 66.69%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 73.23%
Under 0.5 26.77%
Over 1.5 37.95%
Under 1.5 62.05%

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5 79.69%
Under 0.5 20.31%
Over 1.5 47.32%
Under 1.5 52.68%

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 31.63%
Draw 24.46%
Central Coast Mariners 43.91%
Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 7.53%
1-0 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 4.72%
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.64%
3-0 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.46%
Central Coast Mariners
1-2 @ 9.1%
0-1 @ 8.67%
0-2 @ 6.91%
1-3 @ 4.84%
0-3 @ 3.67%
2-3 @ 3.19%
1-4 @ 1.93%
0-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 43.91%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Mar 27, 2021 8.10am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Gianni Stensness 29' yellowcard
  • Marco Urena 30' goal
  • Jack Clisby 48' yellowcard
  • goal Callum McManaman 20'
  • yellowcard Callum McManaman 49'
  • yellowcard Ryan Shotton 64'
  • yellowcard Nick Ansell 79'
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Aug 3, 2020 10.30am
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marco Rojas 22' goal
  • Marco Rojas 65' goal
  • Jay Barnett 72' yellowcard
  • Kenny Athiu 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Silvera 39'
  • goal Dylan Fox 48'
  • yellowcard Tommy Oar 51'
  • yellowcard Matt Simon 80'
  • goal Dylan Ruiz Diaz 85'
  • goal Dylan Ruiz Diaz 89'
Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Jan 12, 2020 7.00am
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Central Coast Stadium (Gosford)
  • Jordan Murray 44' goal
  • Milan Duric 67' yellowcard
  • Matt Simon 94' goal
  • Matt Simon 96' yellowcard
  • Matt Simon 100' goal
  • goal Kristijan Dobras 8'
  • goal Kye Rowles 78' (OG)
  • yellowcard Robbie Kruse 94'
  • yellowcard Adama Traore 96'
  • yellowcard Leigh Broxham 97'
  • redcard Marco Kurz 111'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Apr 14, 2019 8.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT AAMI Park (Melbourne)
  • Elvis Kamsoba 3' yellowcard
  • Ola Toivonen 21' goal
  • Ola Toivonen 32' yellowcard
  • Georg Niedermeier 79' goal
  • goal Matt Simon 53'
Australian A-League Gameweek 17
Feb 2, 2019 6.35am
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT nib Stadium (Perth)
  • Jacob Melling 12' yellowcard
  • Andrew Hoole 18' goal
  • Andrew Hoole 45' goal
  • Matt Simon 70' yellowcard
  • Connor Pain 72' yellowcard
  • Jem Karacan 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Deng 17'
  • yellowcard Leigh Broxham 45'
  • goal James Troisi 50'
  • goal Ben Kennedy 68' (OG)
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 88'
Australian A-League Gameweek 4
Nov 11, 2018 8.00am
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT AAMI Park (Melbourne)
  • Carl Valeri 25' yellowcard
  • Keisuke Honda 30' goal
  • James Troisi 35' goal
  • Terry Antonis 44' yellowcard
  • Corey Brown 45' goal
  • Josh Hope 94' goal
  • goal Mario Shabow 62'
  • yellowcard Jack Clisby 69'
  • yellowcard Andrew Hoole 83'