Australian A-League | Gameweek 17

May 2, 2021 at 7.05am UK

Docklands Stadium

Victory
1 - 1
Central Coast

McManaman (62')
Roux (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Simon (4')
De Silva (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
31.63%	24.46%	43.91%

Both teams to score 58.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.68%

44.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.31%

66.69%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.23%

26.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.95%

62.05%

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.69%

20.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.32%

52.68%

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 31.63%

Central Coast Mariners 43.91%

Draw 24.46%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 7.53% 1-0 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 4.72% 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.63%	1-1 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.46%	1-2 @ 9.1% 0-1 @ 8.67% 0-2 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 4.84% 0-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 1.93% 0-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.87% Total : 43.91%