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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 22
Apr 17, 2021 at 10.10am UK
AAMI Park
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne City
7 - 0
Victory
Nabbout (11'), MacLaren (34' pen., 64', 75' pen., 84', 85'), Luna (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McManaman (30'), Brimmer (88')
Traore (30')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawMelbourne Victory
63.81%19.66%16.54%
Both teams to score 56.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.65%38.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.37%60.63%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.6%11.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.85%36.15%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.62%36.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.84%73.16%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 63.81%
    Melbourne Victory 16.54%
    Draw 19.66%
Melbourne CityDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.89%
2-0 @ 9.78%
1-0 @ 9%
3-1 @ 7.16%
3-0 @ 7.08%
4-1 @ 3.89%
4-0 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 3.62%
4-2 @ 1.97%
5-1 @ 1.69%
5-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 63.81%
1-1 @ 9.11%
2-2 @ 5%
0-0 @ 4.15%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.66%
1-2 @ 4.6%
0-1 @ 4.19%
0-2 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.69%
1-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 16.54%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Victory

Melbourne City
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
Melbourne Victory
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 8.10am
Gameweek 11
Victory
0-6
Melbourne City

McManaman (14'), Lawrie-Lattanzio (63'), Broxham (66')
MacLaren (34'), Berenguer (52'), Griffiths (56'), Metcalfe (75', 77'), Colakovski (90+3')
Griffiths (13'), Berenguer (45+1')
Mar 6, 2021 8am
Feb 7, 2020 8.30am
Gameweek 18
Melbourne City
2-1
Victory
Berenguer (8'), MacLaren (71')
Atkinson (45'), Jamieson (45'), Berenguer (66')
Toivonen (78')
Donachie (56')
Dec 21, 2019 6am
Gameweek 11
Melbourne City
1-2
Victory
Delbridge (56')
Luna (54')
Toivonen (15', 41')
Nabbout (50'), Lesiotis (58'), Kamsoba (67'), Toivonen (92')
Oct 12, 2019 9.30am
Gameweek 1
Victory
0-0
Melbourne City
Toivonen (95')
Brillante (23'), Jamieson (36'), Delbridge (96')
rhs 2.0
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