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Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 22
Apr 17, 2021 at 10.10am UK
AAMI Park
Melbourne Victory

Melbourne City
7 - 0
Victory

Nabbout (11'), MacLaren (34' pen., 64', 75' pen., 84', 85'), Luna (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McManaman (30'), Brimmer (88')
Traore (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawMelbourne Victory
63.81%19.66%16.54%
Both teams to score 56.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.65%38.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.37%60.63%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.6%11.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.85%36.15%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.62%36.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.84%73.16%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 63.81%
    Melbourne Victory 16.54%
    Draw 19.66%
Melbourne CityDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.89%
2-0 @ 9.78%
1-0 @ 9%
3-1 @ 7.16%
3-0 @ 7.08%
4-1 @ 3.89%
4-0 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 3.62%
4-2 @ 1.97%
5-1 @ 1.69%
5-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 63.81%
1-1 @ 9.11%
2-2 @ 5%
0-0 @ 4.15%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.66%
1-2 @ 4.6%
0-1 @ 4.19%
0-2 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.69%
1-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 16.54%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Victory

Melbourne City
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
Melbourne Victory
11.1%
9
rhs 2.0


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