Australian A-League | Gameweek 11

Mar 6, 2021 at 8.10am UK

Marvel Stadium

Victory
0 - 6
Melbourne City

McManaman (14'), Lawrie-Lattanzio (63'), Broxham (66')

FT(HT: 0-1)

MacLaren (34'), Berenguer (52'), Griffiths (56'), Metcalfe (75', 77'), Colakovski (90+3')
Griffiths (13'), Berenguer (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Melbourne City
29.03%	23.46%	47.52%

Both teams to score 60.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.97%

41.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.58%

63.42%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17%

26.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.87%

62.13%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.49%

17.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.99%

48.01%

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 29.03%

Melbourne City 47.52%

Draw 23.45%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 7.08% 1-0 @ 6.18% 2-0 @ 4.07% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.08% Total : 29.03%	1-1 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.45%	1-2 @ 9.38% 0-1 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 5.45% 0-3 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 3.59% 1-4 @ 2.38% 0-4 @ 1.81% 2-4 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.9% Total : 47.52%