Australian A-League | Gameweek 12

Mar 12, 2021 at 8.05am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
3 - 0
Macarthur

MacLaren (23', 25'), Noone (35')
Noone (20'), Berenguer (61'), Jamieson (81')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.89%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Macarthur
47.31%	22.57%	30.11%

Both teams to score 64.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.88%

36.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.77%

58.23%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.29%

15.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.21%

44.79%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.31%

23.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.2%

57.8%

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 47.31%

Macarthur 30.11%

Draw 22.57%

Melbourne City	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 9.18% 1-0 @ 6.89% 2-0 @ 6.37% 3-1 @ 5.66% 3-2 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 3.93% 4-1 @ 2.62% 4-2 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.82% 5-1 @ 0.97% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3% Total : 47.31%	1-1 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 6.61% 0-0 @ 3.72% 3-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.57%	1-2 @ 7.14% 0-1 @ 5.36% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 3.43% 2-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.91% Total : 30.11%

Melbourne City3 - 0Macarthur

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Melbourne City
3 - 0
Macarthur