Australian A-League | Gameweek 3

Apr 10, 2021 at 8.05am UK

Sydney Football Stadium

Sydney FC
1 - 1
Melbourne City

Barbarouses (54')
Retre (29'), Barbarouses (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

MacLaren (90+8' pen.)
Berenguer (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Melbourne City
30.42%	24.42%	45.16%

Both teams to score 57.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.3%

44.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.94%

67.06%

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.26%

27.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.68%

63.31%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.08%

19.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.94%

52.05%

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 30.42%

Melbourne City 45.16%

Draw 24.42%

Sydney FC	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 7.33% 1-0 @ 7.08% 2-0 @ 4.54% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.42%	1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.42%	1-2 @ 9.22% 0-1 @ 8.92% 0-2 @ 7.19% 1-3 @ 4.96% 0-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 3.18% 1-4 @ 2% 0-4 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.97% Total : 45.16%