Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 33.65% | 23.78% | 42.58% |
| Both teams to score 61.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.6% | 40.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.22% | 62.78% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.32% | 23.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.2% | 57.8% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.73% | 19.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.99% | 51.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.8% 1-0 @ 6.58% 2-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 3.08% 3-0 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.65% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 8.91% 0-1 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 6.19% 1-3 @ 4.89% 2-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 3.4% 1-4 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.3% Total : 42.58% |