National League North Gameweek 20
Hereford
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
Marine AFC
  • Cormac Daly 54' goal
  • Aaron Skinner 90' goal
  • goal Matthew McDonald 71'

Hereford United vs Marine AFC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Hereford 3 - 1 Radcliffe
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
George Munday

Marine AFC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Marine AFC 2 - 3 Alfreton
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Charlie Jolley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Marine AFC had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Marine AFC win was 0-1 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Hereford United 47.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 26.06% ▲ (+0.08)
Marine AFC 26.46%

Both Teams to Score: 

54% ▼ (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.53% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 25.47% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 49.93% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 50.07% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 27.44% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 3.5 72.56% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 4.5 15.02% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 4.5 84.98% ▲ (+0.14)

First Half Winner

Hereford United 36.13% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 40.45% ▲ (+0.20)
Marine AFC 23.42% ▼ (-0.25)

Team To Score First

Hereford United 55.3% ▲ (+0.23)
No Goal 7.01% ▲ (+0.11)
Marine AFC 37.69% ▼ (-0.35)

Corners

Over 8 60.64% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 28.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 9 48.94% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 39.35% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 10.5 37.77% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 62.23% ▲ (+0.08)

Hereford United Goals

Over 1.5 45.18% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 54.82% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 19.66% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 80.34% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 6.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.21% ▲ (+0.03)

Marine AFC Goals

Over 0.5 62.82% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 0.5 37.18% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 1.5 28.34% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 71.66% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 9.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.49% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Hereford United 47.54%
Draw 26.06%
Marine AFC 26.46%
Hereford United
1-0 @ 11% ▲ (+0.16)
2-1 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.26% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 47.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 26.06%
Marine AFC
0-1 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.82%
0-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 26.46%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 36
Marine AFC
Apr 8, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Marine Travel Arena
Hereford
  • goal Mikey Lane 7'
National League North Gameweek 36
Marine AFC
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT The Marine Travel Arena
Hereford
  • Chris Doyle 66' goal
  • Finlay Sinclair-Smith 75' goal
  • goal Remaye Campbell 22'
  • goal Alex Babos 33'
National League North Gameweek 17
Hereford
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
Marine AFC
  • Ryan Bartley 1' goal
  • Jason Cowley 16' goal
  • Kyle Howkins 53' yellowcard
  • Cosmos Matwasa 60' yellowcard
  • Andrew Williams 79' goal
  • Mark Derricott 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Chris Doyle 12'
  • yellowcard Finlay Sinclair-Smith 26'

Form Data

Hereford 3 - 1 Radcliffe
Hereford 1 - 2 Oxford City
Bedford 2 - 2 Hereford
Marine AFC 0 - 1 Hereford
Hereford 3 - 0 Merthyr Town
Kidderminster 2 - 1 Hereford
Marine AFC 2 - 3 Alfreton
Marine AFC 1 - 3 Merthyr Town
Darlington 2 - 3 Marine AFC
Marine AFC 0 - 1 Hereford
Marine AFC 2 - 1 Chorley
Southport 2 - 1 Marine AFC