National League North Gameweek 20
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford United vs Marine AFC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Hereford 3 - 1 Radcliffe
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
George Munday

Marine AFC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Marine AFC 2 - 3 Alfreton
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Charlie Jolley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hereford United win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Marine AFC has a probability of 26.46% and a draw has a probability of 25.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Marine AFC win is 0-1 (7.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.36%).

Result

Hereford United 47.51% (+0.87)
Draw 25.98% (-0.11)
Marine AFC 26.46% (-0.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.2% (+1.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.7% (+0.69)
Under 1.5 25.3% (-0.69)
Over 2.5 50.15% (+0.81)
Under 2.5 49.85% (-0.81)
Over 3.5 27.7% (+0.70)
Under 3.5 72.3% (-0.66)
Over 4.5 15.15% (+0.51)
Under 4.5 84.85% (-0.52)

First Half Winner

Hereford United 36.07% (+0.86)
Draw 40.26% (+0.11)
Marine AFC 23.67% (-0.97)

Team To Score First

Hereford United 55.07% (+1.80)
No Goal 6.9% (-0.26)
Marine AFC 38.03% (-1.54)

Corners

Over 8 60.7% (-2.18)
Equal 8 11.2% (+0.09)
Under 8 28.1% (+2.09)
Over 9 49.01% (-2.08)
Equal 9 11.68% (-0.13)
Under 9 39.3% (+2.18)
Over 10.5 37.85% (-1.77)
Under 10.5 62.15% (+1.77)

Hereford United Goals

Over 1.5 45.36% (+1.14)
Under 1.5 54.64% (-1.14)
Over 2.5 19.75% (+0.79)
Under 2.5 80.25% (-0.79)
Over 3.5 6.82% (+0.42)
Under 3.5 93.18% (-0.42)

Marine AFC Goals

Over 0.5 62.98% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 37.02% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 28.47% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 71.53% (+0.35)
Over 2.5 9.4% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 90.6% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 2.5% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.5% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Hereford United 47.5%
Draw 25.98%
Marine AFC 26.45%
Hereford United
1-0 @ 10.85% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.89% (+0.23)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.78% (+0.21)
3-0 @ 4.23% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.78% (+0.07)
Other @ 6.74% (+0.45)
Total : 47.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.26)
2-2 @ 5.5% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.03)
Total : 25.98%
Marine AFC
0-1 @ 7.48% (-0.33)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.18)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.19)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.99% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.42% (-0.03)
Total : 26.45%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 36
Apr 8, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Marine Travel Arena
  • goal Mikey Lane 7'
National League North Gameweek 36
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT The Marine Travel Arena
  • Chris Doyle 66' goal
  • Finlay Sinclair-Smith 75' goal
  • goal Remaye Campbell 22'
  • goal Alex Babos 33'
National League North Gameweek 17
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Ryan Bartley 1' goal
  • Jason Cowley 16' goal
  • Kyle Howkins 53' yellowcard
  • Cosmos Matwasa 60' yellowcard
  • Andrew Williams 79' goal
  • Mark Derricott 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Chris Doyle 12'
  • yellowcard Finlay Sinclair-Smith 26'