National League North
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-
Finlay Sinclair-Smith
32'
-
George Newell
84'
-
Siyabonga Ligendza
59'
-
Siyabonga Ligendza
75'
-
Lewis Salmon
90'+1'
Marine AFC vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marine AFC win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marine AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-2 (6.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result
Marine AFC
51.23%
▼
(-1.29)
Draw
23.84%
▲
(+0.08)
Alfreton Town
24.93%
▲
(+1.20)
Both Teams to Score:
55.79%
▼
(-0.53)
Goals
Over 1.5
78.22%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 1.5
21.78%
▲
(+0.52)
Over 2.5
55.71%
▼
(-0.72)
Under 2.5
44.29%
▲
(+0.72)
Over 3.5
32.96%
▼
(-1.08)
Under 3.5
67.04%
▲
(+1.09)
Over 4.5
19.76%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 4.5
80.24%
▲
(+0.54)
First Half Winner
Marine AFC
39.48%
▼
(-1.31)
Draw
40.42%
▲
(+0.75)
Alfreton Town
20.09%
▲
(+0.56)
Team To Score First
Marine AFC
58.73%
▼
(-2.41)
No Goal
5.99%
▲
(+0.42)
Alfreton Town
35.28%
▲
(+1.99)
Corners
Over 8
56.7%
▼
(-4.30)
Equal 8
11.46%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 8
31.83%
▲
(+4.40)
Over 9
45.12%
▼
(-3.79)
Equal 9
11.58%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 9
43.3%
▲
(+4.30)
Over 10.5
34.37%
▼
(-2.99)
Under 10.5
65.63%
▲
(+2.98)
Marine AFC Goals
Over 1.5
50.72%
▼
(-1.38)
Under 1.5
49.28%
▲
(+1.38)
Over 2.5
25.13%
▼
(-0.90)
Under 2.5
74.87%
▲
(+0.90)
Over 3.5
10.42%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 3.5
89.58%
▲
(+0.25)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5
60.73%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
39.27%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
29.04%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 1.5
70.96%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 2.5
10.55%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 2.5
89.45%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 3.5
2.98%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
97.02%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Marine AFC
51.23%
Draw
23.83%
Alfreton Town
24.93%
Marine AFC
1-0
@
9.81%
▼
(-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.28)
2-0 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.46)
3-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 10.17% ▼ (-0.22)
Total : 51.23%
2-1 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.28)
2-0 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.46)
3-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 10.17% ▼ (-0.22)
Total : 51.23%
Draw
1-1
@
10.77%
▼
(-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.42)
2-2 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.22)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 23.83%
0-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.42)
2-2 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.22)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 23.83%
Alfreton Town
1-2
@
6.47%
▲
(+0.42)
0-1 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.26)
0-2 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.30)
1-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.26)
0-2 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.30)
1-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 24.93%
Head to Head
National League North
National League North
Gameweek
41
-
14'
-
26'
National League North
Gameweek
15
-
Jake Day
49'
-
Adam Thomas
75'
-
James Butler
90'+5'