National League North
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Kieron Freeman 66' goal
  • goal Aaron Martin 41'

Alfreton Town vs Worksop Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 7.45pm
Alfreton 1 - 0 Chorley
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
J. Ayres

Worksop Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Worksop 2 - 0 Radcliffe
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Aaron Martin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Worksop Town had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Worksop Town win was 0-1 (8.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result

Alfreton Town 39.28% (+0.39)
Draw 26.16% (+0.29)
Worksop Town 34.56% (-0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.74% (-0.76)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.99% (-0.82)
Under 1.5 25.01% (+0.82)
Over 2.5 50.94% (-1.16)
Under 2.5 49.06% (+1.16)
Over 3.5 29.25% (-0.95)
Under 3.5 70.75% (+0.94)
Over 4.5 16.28% (-0.65)
Under 4.5 83.72% (+0.66)

First Half Winner

Alfreton Town 29% (+0.18)
Draw 41.91% (-0.17)
Worksop Town 29.09% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Alfreton Town 47.36% (+1.41)
No Goal 6.98% (+0.33)
Worksop Town 45.66% (-1.74)

Corners

Over 8 57.9% (-2.28)
Equal 8 11.51% (+0.26)
Under 8 30.59% (+2.02)
Over 9 46.16% (-2.33)
Equal 9 11.74% (+0.06)
Under 9 42.1% (+2.28)
Over 10.5 35.17% (-2.19)
Under 10.5 64.83% (+2.19)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 1.5 39.19% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 60.81% (+0.28)
Over 2.5 16.33% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 83.67% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 5.56% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 94.44% (+0.07)

Worksop Town Goals

Over 0.5 68.89% (-0.91)
Under 0.5 31.11% (+0.92)
Over 1.5 35.54% (-1.11)
Under 1.5 64.46% (+1.11)
Over 2.5 13.98% (-0.67)
Under 2.5 86.02% (+0.68)
Over 3.5 4.61% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 95.39% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 39.28%
Draw 26.16%
Worksop Town 34.57%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 9.43% (+0.36)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.36% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.95% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.10)
Other @ 5.4% (-0.05)
Total : 39.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 6.98% (+0.33)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 26.16%
Worksop Town
0-1 @ 8.61% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.08)
Other @ 4.45% (-0.34)
Total : 34.57%

Head to Head

National League North
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aaron Martin 57' goal