Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macclesfield Town win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macclesfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (7.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.