Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.