Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 25
Jan 3, 2026 at 3pm UK
 

vs.

Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 2-1 Leamington
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-0 Hereford
Saturday, April 25 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hereford United win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Alfreton Town has a probability of 35.21% and a draw has a probability of 27.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win is 1-0 (10.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.06%).

Result
Alfreton TownDrawHereford United
35.21% (1.751 1.75)27.66% (0.225 0.23)37.13% (-1.981 -1.98)
Both teams to score 48.81% (-0.453 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.02% (-0.674 -0.67)56.98% (0.672 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.12% (-0.543 -0.54)77.88% (0.54000000000001 0.54)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27% (0.80200000000001 0.8)30.73% (-0.805 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.01% (0.938 0.94)66.98% (-0.94000000000001 -0.94)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (-1.488 -1.49)29.54% (1.486 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.44% (-1.854 -1.85)65.56% (1.851 1.85)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 35.2%
    Hereford United 37.12%
    Draw 27.66%
Alfreton TownDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.5 0.5)
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.217 0.22)
2-0 @ 6.32% (0.428 0.43)
3-1 @ 3.03% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.219 0.22)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 35.2%
1-1 @ 13.06% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 9.08% (0.231 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 11.06% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.96% (-0.284 -0.28)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.397 -0.4)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.257 -0.26)
0-3 @ 2.74% (-0.284 -0.28)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.12%

Head to Head
Aug 30, 2025 3pm
Feb 22, 2025 3pm
gameweek 34
Hereford
2-0
Alfreton
Ceesay (59'), Campbell (82')
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
gameweek 10
Alfreton
0-0
Hereford
Moyo (29'), Newall (90+4')
D'Ath (21'), Rose (73'), Ceesay (85'), Rooney (90+3')
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 39
Hereford
3-3
Alfreton
Cowley (9'), Babos (63'), Skinner (90+5')
Day (15'), Fewster (30'), Digie (35')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 14
Alfreton
3-1
Hereford
Thewlis (65' pen., 73' pen.), Day (89')
Babos (54')