National League North Gameweek 25
Mar 19, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • Lewis Salmon 1' goal
  • Kai Lissimore 36' goal
  • goal George Munday 68'

Alfreton Town vs Hereford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
Southport 2 - 1 Alfreton
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
J. Ayres

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
Hereford 1 - 4 Fylde
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
George Munday

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Alfreton Town 40.01%
Draw 26.8%
Hereford United 33.14% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.37%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.27% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 26.73% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 48.64%
Under 2.5 51.36%
Over 3.5 26.68% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 73.32% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 14.44% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 85.56% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Alfreton Town 29.98%
Draw 42.34%
Hereford United 27.69%

Team To Score First

Alfreton Town 47.65%
No Goal 7.65%
Hereford United 44.7%

Corners

Over 8 61.53% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.12%
Under 8 27.35% (+0.04)
Over 9 49.85% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.68% (-0.01)
Under 9 38.47% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 38.61% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 61.39% (+0.03)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 1.5 38.5%
Under 1.5 61.5%
Over 2.5 15.61% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.39% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.07% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.93% (-0.01)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 67.3% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 32.7% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 33.31% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 66.69% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.34%
Under 2.5 87.66%
Over 3.5 3.78%
Under 3.5 96.22%

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 40.01%
Draw 26.79%
Hereford United 33.15%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.68% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.18% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.97% (+0.01)
Total : 40.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.79%
Hereford United
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 2.17%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 33.15%

Head to Head

National League North
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 34
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Yusifu Ceesay 59' goal
  • Tate Campbell 82' goal
National League North Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • David Moyo 29' yellowcard
  • Nathan Newall 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lawson D'Ath 21'
  • yellowcard Ahkeem Rose 73'
  • yellowcard Yusifu Ceesay 85'
  • yellowcard Adam Rooney 90'+3'
National League North Gameweek 39
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 3
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Jason Cowley 9' goal
  • Alex Babos 63' goal
  • Aaron Skinner 90'+5' goal
  • goal Jake Day 15'
  • goal Billy Fewster 30'
  • goal Kennedy Digie 35'
National League North Gameweek 14
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • Jordan Thewlis 65' goal
  • Jordan Thewlis 73' goal
  • Jake Day 89' goal
  • goal Alex Babos 54'
National League North Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground