National League North Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
New Bucks Head Ground

AFC Telford United vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Telford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Telford 1 - 2 Leamington
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Dylan Allen-Hadley

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
Kidderminster 1 - 0 Alfreton
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
J. Ayres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 67.16%. A draw has a probability of 18.66% and a win for Alfreton Town has a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Telford United win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.54%) , while for a Alfreton Town win it is 1-2 (4.15%).

Result

AFC Telford United 67.16% (-2.25)
Draw 18.66% (+0.97)
Alfreton Town 14.19% (+1.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.77% (+1.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.83% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 17.17% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 62.73% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 37.27% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 39.6% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 60.4% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 26.66% (-0.67)
Under 4.5 73.34% (+0.68)

First Half Winner

AFC Telford United 48.26% (-1.20)
Draw 35.24% (+0.67)
Alfreton Town 16.5% (+0.53)

Team To Score First

AFC Telford United 69.21% (-1.02)
No Goal 4.24% (-0.02)
Alfreton Town 26.55% (+1.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.11% (+0.47)
Equal 8 11.5%
Under 8 30.39% (-0.47)
Over 9 46.38% (+0.45)
Equal 9 11.74% (+0.05)
Under 9 41.89% (-0.47)
Over 10.5 35.39% (+0.37)
Under 10.5 64.61% (-0.36)

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 1.5 65.11% (-1.21)
Under 1.5 34.89% (+1.21)
Over 2.5 38.93% (-1.57)
Under 2.5 61.07% (+1.57)
Over 3.5 19.52% (-1.52)
Under 3.5 80.48% (+1.53)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 49.36% (+2.61)
Under 0.5 50.64% (-2.61)
Over 1.5 19.79% (+1.97)
Under 1.5 80.21% (-1.98)
Over 2.5 5.92% (+1.09)
Under 2.5 94.08% (-1.10)
Over 3.5 1.49% (+0.40)
Under 3.5 98.51% (-0.40)

Score analysis

AFC Telford United 67.16%
Draw 18.65%
Alfreton Town 14.18%
AFC Telford United
2-1 @ 10.31% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 9.87% (-0.37)
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 7.88% (-0.44)
3-1 @ 7.08% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.38% (+0.16)
Other @ 19.36% (-1.63)
Total : 67.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.54% (+0.33)
2-2 @ 4.64% (+0.38)
0-0 @ 4.24% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.16% (+0.11)
Total : 18.65%
Alfreton Town
1-2 @ 4.15% (+0.28)
0-1 @ 3.64% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 1.7% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.36% (+0.24)
1-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.33% (+0.30)
Total : 14.18%

Head to Head

National League North
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • Jordan Thewlis 86' goal
National League North Gameweek 16
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT New Bucks Head Ground
  • Nathan Blissett 14' goal
  • goal Ahmed Salam 16'
  • goal Conor Branson 45'+3'
National League North Gameweek 30
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jason Oswell 45'+1' goal
  • Jason Oswell 47' goal
  • goal Matt Rhead 51'
  • goal Bailey Hobson 61'
  • goal Matt Rhead 68'
National League North Gameweek 6
Sep 11, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tom Allan 19' goal
  • Josh Wilde 54' goal
  • Yusifu Ceesay 69' goal
  • goal Jack Byrne 84'
National League North Gameweek 35
Apr 17, 2021 3.00pm