Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 18.72% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 14.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a AFC Telford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%) , while for a Alfreton Town win it was 1-2 (4.21%).