National League North
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 4 0
FT New Bucks Head Ground
  • Dylan Allen-Hadley 22' goal
  • Dylan Allen-Hadley 23' goal
  • Dylan Allen-Hadley 35' goal
  • Dylan Allen-Hadley 36' goal
  • Ricardo Dinanga 79' yellowcard
  • James Armson 80' yellowcard
  • Rhys Hilton 84' yellowcard
  • Ola Lawal 84' yellowcard
  • goal Taelor O'Kane 58'
  • goal Taylor O'Kane 60'
  • yellowcard Anjola Popoola 65'
  • yellowcard Milan Lalkovic 67'
  • yellowcard Milan Lalkovic 68'
  • yellowcard Mike Calveley 84'
  • yellowcard Jack Moore 90'+5'

AFC Telford United vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Telford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Telford 3 - 0 Hereford
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Dylan Allen-Hadley

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Chorley 0 - 1 Radcliffe
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Anjola Popoola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Telford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-2 (6.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

AFC Telford United 47.74% (+0.58)
Draw 24.32% (-1.29)
Chorley 27.94% (+0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.04% (+0.64)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.61% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 20.39% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 57.46% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 42.54% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 35.94% (+0.61)
Under 3.5 64.01% (-0.66)
Over 4.5 21.48% (+0.43)
Under 4.5 78.52% (-0.44)

First Half Winner

AFC Telford United 38.13% (-1.33)
Draw 38.82% (+2.37)
Chorley 23.06% (-1.06)

Team To Score First

AFC Telford United 57.16% (-0.78)
No Goal 5.73% (-0.02)
Chorley 37.11% (+0.79)

Corners

Over 8 57.41% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.74% (+0.09)
Under 8 30.85% (-0.08)
Over 9 45.48% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.93% (+0.09)
Under 9 42.59% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 34.37% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 65.63% (+0.18)

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 1.5 49.37% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 50.63% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 24.52% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 75.48% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 9.86% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 90.14% (-0.07)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 64.48% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 35.52% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 33.17% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 66.83% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 12.77% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.23% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.92% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.08% (+0.02)

Score analysis

AFC Telford United 47.73%
Draw 24.33%
Chorley 27.94%
AFC Telford United
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.24)
1-0 @ 8.63% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 7.13% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.29% (+0.20)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.16)
3-2 @ 3.61% (+0.16)
Other @ 9.8% (+0.29)
Total : 47.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.95% (-0.59)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.25)
0-0 @ 5.73% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.22)
Other @ 0.06% (-0.22)
Total : 24.33%
Chorley
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.13)
0-1 @ 6.03% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.07% (+0.27)
1-3 @ 3.11% (+0.22)
2-3 @ 2.62% (+0.23)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.18)
Other @ 3.86% (+0.19)
Total : 27.94%

Head to Head

National League North
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Harvey Smith 45'+3' goal
National League North Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT New Bucks Head Ground
  • Devarn Green 45' goal
  • redcard Jack Sampson 80'
National League North Gameweek 39
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ollie Shenton 28' goal
National League North Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jason Oswell 36' redcard
  • Theo Streete 60' goal
  • Elliott Durrell 71' goal
  • Jack Byrne 90'+6' goal
National League North Gameweek 29
Mar 23, 2021 7.45pm