Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 48.13%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.44%) and 1-0 (6.2%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-2 (6.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%).