FA Trophy
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Henry Sandat 21' goal
  • goal Matt Stenson 45'+3'
  • goal Matty Stenson 45'+3'
  • goal Remi Walker 54'

AFC Hornchurch vs AFC Telford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions

AFC Telford United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 0-1 (8.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

AFC Hornchurch 38.06% (-1.51)
Draw 25.02% (-0.93)
AFC Telford United 36.91% (+2.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.08% (+1.62)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.25% (+1.61)
Under 1.5 23.75% (-1.61)
Over 2.5 53.17% (+2.02)
Under 2.5 46.83% (-2.02)
Over 3.5 30.93% (+2.31)
Under 3.5 69.07% (-2.31)
Over 4.5 18.09% (+1.58)
Under 4.5 81.91% (-1.58)

First Half Winner

AFC Hornchurch 32.1% (-1.69)
Draw 38.47% (-0.86)
AFC Telford United 29.43% (+2.54)

Team To Score First

AFC Hornchurch 45.27% (-2.26)
No Goal 6.61% (-0.70)
AFC Telford United 48.12% (+2.97)

Corners

Over 8 65.28% (+4.94)
Equal 8 10.57% (-0.16)
Under 8 24.14% (-4.81)
Over 9 53.84% (+4.65)
Equal 9 11.44% (+0.30)
Under 9 34.72% (-4.94)
Over 10.5 42.5% (+3.97)
Under 10.5 57.5% (-3.96)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 1.5 38.72% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 61.28% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 16.61% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 83.39% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 6.03% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 93.97% (-0.08)

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 0.5 69.82% (+1.92)
Under 0.5 30.18% (-1.93)
Over 1.5 37.79% (+2.83)
Under 1.5 62.21% (-2.84)
Over 2.5 16.16% (+1.86)
Under 2.5 83.84% (-1.86)
Over 3.5 5.56% (+0.91)
Under 3.5 94.44% (-0.91)

Score analysis

AFC Hornchurch 38.05%
Draw 25.02%
AFC Telford United 36.9%
AFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 8.68% (-0.96)
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.53)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.20)
3-1 @ 3.59% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.24)
3-2 @ 2.71% (+0.21)
Other @ 5.92% (+0.16)
Total : 38.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.45)
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.70)
2-2 @ 5.34% (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.07)
Total : 25.02%
AFC Telford United
0-1 @ 8.43% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.1% (+0.27)
0-2 @ 5.48% (+0.27)
1-3 @ 3.89% (+0.44)
0-3 @ 2.81% (+0.21)
2-3 @ 2.74% (+0.25)
Other @ 5.45% (+0.99)
Total : 36.9%