Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 0-1 (8.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.