National League South
Dec 30, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
Maidstone United

1-2

Balanta (29')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Corne (20'), Kargbo (90+1')
Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Maidstone United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hornchurch 1-2 Maidstone
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League South
Next Game: Hornchurch vs. Salisbury
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 1-2 Maidstone
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League South
Next Game: Chelmsford City vs. Maidstone
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 (10.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawMaidstone United
35.19% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)27.6% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.21% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 48.99% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)56.75% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.3% (0.004999999999999 0)77.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.38% (0.0049999999999955 0)30.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.14% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)66.86% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62%29.38% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.64% (0.0010000000000048 0)65.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 35.19%
    Maidstone United 37.21%
    Draw 27.6%
AFC HornchurchDrawMaidstone United
1-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.3%
3-1 @ 3.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 35.19%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.6%
0-1 @ 11.02%
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 37.21%

Head to Head
Mar 8, 2025 3pm
gameweek 37
Hornchurch
0-0
Maidstone
Balanta (7'), Wraight (67'), Pegrum (81')
Leahy (55'), Greenidge (88')
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
gameweek 17
Maidstone
1-0
Hornchurch
Eweka (5')

Wraight (11'), Clements (35'), Nash (45+3')