Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 (8.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.