National League South Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Hornchurch Stadium

AFC Hornchurch vs Eastbourne Borough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
Hornchurch 0 - 0 Salisbury
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Eastbourne Borough

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 6, 2026 7.45pm
Eastbourne 0 - 0 Horsham
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Oluwalopemiwa Aderoju

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Eastbourne Borough has a probability of 29.63% and a draw has a probability of 24.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Hornchurch win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win is 1-2 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.61%).

Result

AFC Hornchurch 46.12% (+0.23)
Draw 24.25% (+0.13)
Eastbourne Borough 29.63% (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.97% (+1.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.25% (+0.90)
Under 1.5 21.75% (-0.90)
Over 2.5 55.28% (+1.33)
Under 2.5 44.72% (-1.33)
Over 3.5 32.13% (+1.16)
Under 3.5 67.87% (-1.15)
Over 4.5 18.52% (+0.67)
Under 4.5 81.48% (-0.66)

First Half Winner

AFC Hornchurch 34.09% (+0.52)
Draw 40.21% (-0.58)
Eastbourne Borough 25.7% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

AFC Hornchurch 52.12% (+1.18)
No Goal 5.57% (-0.22)
Eastbourne Borough 42.31% (-0.97)

Corners

Over 8 67.61% (-0.96)
Equal 8 10.23% (+0.06)
Under 8 22.16% (+0.90)
Over 9 56.32% (-0.90)
Equal 9 11.29% (-0.07)
Under 9 32.39% (+0.95)
Over 10.5 44.92% (-0.75)
Under 10.5 55.08% (+0.75)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 1.5 46.36% (+1.11)
Under 1.5 53.64% (-1.11)
Over 2.5 21.7% (+0.69)
Under 2.5 78.3% (-0.69)
Over 3.5 7.78% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 92.22% (-0.19)

Eastbourne Borough Goals

Over 0.5 65.84% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 34.16% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 33.18% (+0.86)
Under 1.5 66.82% (-0.86)
Over 2.5 12.54% (+0.52)
Under 2.5 87.46% (-0.53)
Over 3.5 3.67% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 96.33% (-0.24)

Score analysis

AFC Hornchurch 46.12%
Draw 24.24%
Eastbourne Borough 29.63%
AFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.22% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.04% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 4.27% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.28% (+0.06)
Other @ 7.68% (+0.10)
Total : 46.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.31)
2-2 @ 5.63% (+0.35)
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.22)
3-3 @ 1.33% (+0.19)
Other @ 0.1% (+0.10)
Total : 24.24%
Eastbourne Borough
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.79% (-0.51)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.56% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.05% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.57% (+0.15)
Total : 29.63%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Priory Lane Stadium
  • Alfie Pavey 40' goal
  • Kai Woollard Innocent 44' yellowcard
  • Pierce Bird 58' yellowcard
  • Alfie Pavey 87' yellowcard
  • Ollie Kensdale 90' yellowcard
  • George Alexander 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Henry Hearn 34'
  • yellowcard Harry Gibbs 41'
  • yellowcard Tom Wraight 64'
National League South Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • yellowcard Moussa Diarra 14'
  • goal Alfie Pavey 23'
  • redcard Isaac Pitblado 28'
  • yellowcard Brayden Johnson 86'
  • yellowcard Pierce Bird 86'
  • yellowcard J 90'+1'