National League North
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • James Meddows 8' goal
  • Matt Stenson 33' goal
  • Matt Stenson 60' goal
  • goal Tom Leak 56'

AFC Telford United vs Chester FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Telford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Buxton 0 - 2 Telford
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Dylan Allen-Hadley

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Chester 1 - 3 South Shields
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Finley Shrimpton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 2-1 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result

AFC Telford United 36.24% (+0.03)
Draw 24.18% (-0.01)
Chester FC 39.57% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.7% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.17% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 41.83% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 35.77% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 64.23% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 18.84% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.16% (-0.02)

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 0.5 77.07% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 22.92% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 43.31% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 56.69% (-0.03)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5 78.75%
Under 0.5 21.25%
Over 1.5 45.84% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.16% (+0.01)

Score analysis

AFC Telford United 36.24%
Draw 24.18%
Chester FC 39.57%
AFC Telford United
2-1 @ 8.18% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.17% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.28% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.02% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.48% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 36.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 6.34% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.87% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.18%
Chester FC
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.54% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.27% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.72%
2-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 39.57%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Joe Lynch 90'+2' goal
  • goal Harry Flowers 27'
National League North Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT New Bucks Head Ground
National League North Gameweek 20
Jan 2, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Patrick Lacey 36' goal
  • goal Brendan Daniels 49'
National League North Gameweek 18
Dec 26, 2021 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Carl Baker 90'+2' goal
  • goal James Hardy 13'
  • goal Anthony Dudley 73'
  • goal Darren Stephenson 78'
National League North Gameweek 16
Jan 2, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Josh Askew 8' goal
  • Declan Weeks 56' goal
  • Anthony Dudley 76' goal
  • redcard Lee Vaughan 45'+3'
National League North Gameweek 14
Dec 26, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Aaron Williams 18' goal
  • goal George Glendon 26'
  • goal Anthony Dudley 67'