National League North | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
 

vs.

Coverage of the National League North clash between AFC Telford United and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Buxton 0-2 Telford
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 1-3 South Shields
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chester FC win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for AFC Telford United has a probability of 36.22% and a draw has a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win is 2-1 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.11%).

Result
AFC Telford UnitedDrawChester FC
36.22% (-0.306 -0.31)24.18% (0.071999999999999 0.07)39.59% (0.229 0.23)
Both teams to score 60.68% (-0.307 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.15% (-0.385 -0.38)41.84% (0.38 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.75% (-0.388 -0.39)64.25% (0.383 0.38)
AFC Telford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (-0.337 -0.34)22.94% (0.332 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28% (-0.497 -0.5)56.71% (0.49 0.49)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)21.25% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.84% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)54.15% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    AFC Telford United 36.22%
    Chester FC 39.59%
    Draw 24.18%
AFC Telford UnitedDrawChester FC
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.18% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.59% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 36.22%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 8.61% (0.035 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.08 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.45% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.02% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 39.59%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
gameweek 26
Chester
1-1
Telford
Lynch (90+2')
Flowers (27')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 25
Telford
0-0
Chester
Jan 2, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Chester
1-1
Telford
Lacey (36')
Daniels (49')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
gameweek 18
Telford
1-3
Chester
Baker (90+2')
Hardy (13'), Dudley (73' pen.), Stephenson (78')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
gameweek 16
Chester
3-0
Telford
Askew (8'), Weeks (56'), Dudley (76')

Vaughan (45+3')
rhs 2.0


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