National League North
Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
 

3-1

Meddows (8'), Stenson (33', 60')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Leak (56')
Coverage of the National League North clash between AFC Telford United and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Telford 3-1 Chester
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Next Game: Kidderminster vs. Telford
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 3-1 Chester
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Next Game: Chester vs. Macclesfield
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 2-1 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
AFC Telford UnitedDrawChester FC
36.24% (0.020000000000003 0.02)24.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.57% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.17% (0.017000000000003 0.02)41.83% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.77% (0.016999999999996 0.02)64.23% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
AFC Telford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (0.018999999999991 0.02)22.92% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.31% (0.026999999999994 0.03)56.69% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75%21.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.84% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)54.16% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    AFC Telford United 36.24%
    Chester FC 39.57%
    Draw 24.18%
AFC Telford UnitedDrawChester FC
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 7.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 36.24%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.72%
2-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 39.57%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
gameweek 26
Chester
1-1
Telford
Lynch (90+2')
Flowers (27')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 25
Telford
0-0
Chester
Jan 2, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Chester
1-1
Telford
Lacey (36')
Daniels (49')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
gameweek 18
Telford
1-3
Chester
Baker (90+2')
Hardy (13'), Dudley (73' pen.), Stephenson (78')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
gameweek 16
Chester
3-0
Telford
Askew (8'), Weeks (56'), Dudley (76')

Vaughan (45+3')
rhs 2.0


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