Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 2-1 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.