Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest South Shields win was 0-1 (7.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.