Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a AFC Telford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 1-0 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.