National League North
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Remi Walker 4' goal
  • Matt Stenson 60' goal
  • goal Malakai McKenzie 52'
  • goal Chris Sze 57'

AFC Telford United vs Southport - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Telford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
Radcliffe 2 - 2 Telford
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Matt Stenson

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
Alfreton 0 - 0 Southport
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Malakai McKenzie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Southport had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Telford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (7.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

AFC Telford United 45.99%
Draw 24.6%
Southport 29.41%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.66%

Goals

Over 2.5 53.99%
Under 2.5 46%
Over 3.5 31.69%
Under 3.5 68.31%
Over 4.5 15.85%
Under 4.5 84.14%

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 0.5 79.9%
Under 0.5 20.09%
Over 1.5 47.66%
Under 1.5 52.34%

Southport Goals

Over 0.5 70.91%
Under 0.5 29.08%
Over 1.5 35%
Under 1.5 65%

Score analysis

AFC Telford United 45.99%
Draw 24.6%
Southport 29.41%
AFC Telford United
1-0 @ 9.38%
2-1 @ 9.29%
2-0 @ 7.53%
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.62%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 45.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.58%
0-0 @ 5.84%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.6%
Southport
0-1 @ 7.22%
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-2 @ 4.46%
1-3 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 29.41%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 30
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT New Bucks Head Ground
  • Adam Livingstone 39' goal
  • goal Connor Woods 51'
National League North Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Haig Avenue
National League North Gameweek 41
May 2, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Reiss McNally 33' goal
  • goal Rob Evans 38'
National League North Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Douglas Tharme 33'
  • goal Douglas Tharme 47'
  • goal Jordan Archer 85'
National League North Gameweek 28
Mar 20, 2021 3.00pm
National League North Gameweek 6
Nov 7, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jack Byrne 52' redcard
  • Brendan Daniels 68' goal
  • goal Markus Carver 58'