Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southport win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Merthyr Town has a probability of 28.83% and a draw has a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Merthyr Town win is 1-2 (7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.71%).