Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Worksop Town had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Worksop Town win was 1-2 (7.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.