National League North Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
The New Eyrie

Bedford vs Southport - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bedford

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Curzon Ashton 0 - 0 Bedford
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Tyrone Marsh

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
Southport 0 - 0 Scarborough Ath
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Malakai McKenzie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bedford win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Southport has a probability of 36.65% and a draw has a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bedford win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Southport win is 1-2 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.58%).

Result

Bedford 38.01% (-0.02)
Draw 25.33%
Southport 36.65% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.59% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.06% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 22.94% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 53.82% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 46.18% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 32.14% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 67.86% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 17.99% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 82.01% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Bedford 29.5% (-0.02)
Draw 40.91% (+0.02)
Southport 29.59%

Team To Score First

Bedford 48.42% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.04% (+0.01)
Southport 45.54% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 58.78% (-0.15)
Equal 8 11.47%
Under 8 29.76% (+0.16)
Over 9 47% (-0.14)
Equal 9 11.78% (-0.03)
Under 9 41.22% (+0.15)
Over 10.5 35.91% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 64.1% (+0.11)

Bedford Goals

Over 1.5 40.05% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 59.95% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 16.96% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 83.04% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.73%
Under 3.5 94.27%

Southport Goals

Over 0.5 71.06% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 28.94% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 38.83% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 61.17% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 16.18% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 83.82% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 5.24% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.76% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Bedford 38.01%
Draw 25.33%
Southport 36.66%
Bedford
1-0 @ 8.65% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.16%
2-0 @ 5.99%
3-1 @ 4.24% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.74% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.52%
Total : 38.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.58%
0-0 @ 6.04% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 25.33%
Southport
1-2 @ 8.32%
0-1 @ 8.25% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.95% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.03% (-0.02)
Total : 36.66%

Head to Head

National League North
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT