National League North
Dec 30, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 

2-4

McKenzie (21'), Griffiths (76')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Holmes (6', 58', 78'), Curran (29')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southport 2-4 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North
Next Game: Southport vs. Scarborough Ath
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 2-4 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North
Next Game: Kidderminster vs. Curzon Ashton
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-2 (6.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
SouthportDrawCurzon Ashton
48.81% (0.242 0.24)23.89% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)27.3% (-0.225 -0.22)
Both teams to score 57.53% (-0.126 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)44.17% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.45% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)66.55% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.78% (0.063000000000002 0.06)18.21% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.77% (0.105 0.11)49.23% (-0.105 -0.1)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)29.66% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.29% (-0.254 -0.25)65.7% (0.254 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Southport 48.81%
    Curzon Ashton 27.3%
    Draw 23.89%
SouthportDrawCurzon Ashton
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.051 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.45% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 48.81%
1-1 @ 11.18%
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 27.3%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2025 7.45pm
Nov 26, 2024 7.45pm
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Third Round Qualifying
Southport
0-1
Curzon Ashton
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
gameweek 26
Southport
0-3
Curzon Ashton
Spencer (7', 84'), Mols (28')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
gameweek 25
Curzon Ashton
3-2
Southport
Mols (45+2'), Hughes (70'), Spencer (82')
Holmes (13'), Flowers (35')