National League North

Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK

Marine AFC
4-2
Southport Southport

Wardle (4'), Sinclair-Smith (35' pen., 54' pen.), Zanzala (66')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Lavelle (30'), Gnahoua (73')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Marine AFC and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marine AFC

All competitions

Last Game: Marine AFC 4-2 Southport
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North

Next Game: Chorley vs. Marine AFC
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southport

All competitions

Last Game: Marine AFC 4-2 Southport
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North

Next Game: Southport vs. Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marine AFC win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Southport had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marine AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (10.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Marine AFC	Draw	Southport
38.06% ( -0.15)	27.93% ( 0.02)	34.01% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 47.87% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.91% (

-0.07)

58.1% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.24% (

-0.05)

78.76% (

0.06)

Marine AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.48% (

-0.12)

29.52% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.46% (

-0.15)

65.54% (

0.15)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.93% (

0.05)

32.07% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.45% (

0.06)

68.55% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Marine AFC 38.06%

Southport 34%

Draw 27.92%

Marine AFC	Draw	Southport
1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 38.06%	1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.92%	0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.77% Total : 34%