National League North | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
 

Marine AFC
vs.
SouthportSouthport

Coverage of the National League North clash between Marine AFC and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marine AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Bedford 1-1 Marine AFC
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League North

Southport

All competitions
Last Game: Southport 1-1 Worksop
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marine AFC win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Southport has a probability of 34.01% and a draw has a probability of 27.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marine AFC win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Southport win is 0-1 (10.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.13%).

Result
Marine AFCDrawSouthport
38.06% (-0.154 -0.15)27.93% (0.024000000000001 0.02)34.01% (0.131 0.13)
Both teams to score 47.87% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.91% (-0.07 -0.07)58.1% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)78.76% (0.056000000000012 0.06)
Marine AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (-0.124 -0.12)29.52% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (-0.153 -0.15)65.54% (0.154 0.15)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (0.052999999999997 0.05)32.07% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.45% (0.059000000000001 0.06)68.55% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Marine AFC 38.06%
    Southport 34%
    Draw 27.92%
Marine AFCDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.01% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.87% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 38.06%
1-1 @ 13.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.47% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 10.76% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.12% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 34%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 38
Marine AFC
1-0
Southport
Wardle (53')
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
gameweek 20
Southport
0-0
Marine AFC
Burgess (66'), Philliskirk (70')
Wardle (47'), Waters (87')