National League North
Dec 6, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Alfreton Town

2-1

Weston (27'), Holmes (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McCann (47')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Curzon Ashton 2-1 Alfreton
Saturday, December 6 at 3pm in National League North
Next Game: Merthyr Town vs. Curzon Ashton
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 2-1 Alfreton
Saturday, December 6 at 3pm in National League North
Next Game: Alfreton vs. Macclesfield
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.84% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%) , while for a Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawAlfreton Town
51.74%24.84%23.41%
Both teams to score 50.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.54%51.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.73%73.26%
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12%19.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.01%51.98%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.2%36.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.41%73.58%
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 51.74%
    Alfreton Town 23.41%
    Draw 24.84%
Curzon AshtonDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 11.81%
2-0 @ 9.55%
2-1 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 5.14%
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-0 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 51.74%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 7.31%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.31%
1-2 @ 5.91%
0-2 @ 3.66%
1-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.59%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 23.41%

Head to Head
Apr 18, 2025 3pm
Jan 1, 2025 3pm
gameweek 24
Alfreton
0-1
Curzon Ashton

Perritt (84'), Matthews (86')
Mols (45+1' pen.)
(87')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 22
Curzon Ashton
2-1
Alfreton
Kenyon (10'), Barton (45+2')
Poscha (19')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
gameweek 35
Curzon Ashton
0-1
Alfreton
Rhead (61' pen.)