Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Curzon Ashton in this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Curzon Ashton
29.54% ( 0.06)	28.19% ( 0.03)	42.27% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 45.81% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.96% (

-0.08)

60.04% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.73% (

-0.06)

80.27% (

0.07)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.69%

36.32% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.9% (

73.1% (

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.93% (

-0.09)

28.07% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.27% (

-0.12)

63.73% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 29.54%

Curzon Ashton 42.27%

Draw 28.18%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Curzon Ashton
1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 29.54%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.18%	0-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 42.27%