National League North | Gameweek 19

Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
1 - 0
Southport

Spencer (33')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curzon Ashton

All competitions

National League North

Last Game: Marine AFC 0-2 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Southport

All competitions

Last Game: King's Lynn 1-0 Southport
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Southport had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Curzon Ashton in this match.

Result
Curzon Ashton	Draw	Southport
38.78% ( -6.09)	26.69% ( 0.87)	34.52% ( 5.21)

Both teams to score 51.76% (

-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.77% (

-1.98)

53.23% (

1.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.21% (

-1.71)

74.79% (

1.7)

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.22% (

-4)

26.78% (

3.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.94% (

-5.58)

62.06% (

5.58)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.7% (

2.54)

29.3% (

-2.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.73% (

3.01)

65.27% (

-3.02)

Score Analysis

Curzon Ashton 38.78%

Southport 34.52%

Draw 26.69%

Curzon Ashton	Draw	Southport
1-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.72) 2-0 @ 6.81% ( -1.13) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.81) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.92) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.31) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.45) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.46) Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.78%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69%	0-1 @ 9.63% ( 1.33) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.76) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 1.16) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.51) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.61) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.52%