National League North | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Phillips 66 Community Stadium

Leamington
3 - 0
Southport

Evans (24'), Stewart (48', 62' pen.)
Williams (33'), Evans (84'), Edwards (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Philliskirk (9'), Quansah (20'), Knight-Percival (58'), Renshaw (61'), Lloyd (64')
Quansah (60')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Leamington FC and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-2 Southport
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 61.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Southport had a probability of 16.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leamington FC would win this match.

Result
Leamington FCDrawSouthport
61.43% (0.619 0.62)22.2% (-0.432 -0.43)16.38% (-0.182 -0.18)
Both teams to score 47.61% (0.901 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.2% (1.416 1.42)49.81% (-1.41 -1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.2% (1.252 1.25)71.81% (-1.248 -1.25)
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.28% (0.697 0.7)15.73% (-0.692 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.18% (1.269 1.27)44.82% (-1.265 -1.27)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.49% (0.609 0.61)43.51% (-0.604 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.28% (0.503 0.5)79.72% (-0.498 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Leamington FC 61.42%
    Southport 16.38%
    Draw 22.19%
Leamington FCDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 12.65% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-0 @ 11.7% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 7.22% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.181 0.18)
4-0 @ 3.34% (0.123 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.146 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.116 0.12)
5-0 @ 1.24% (0.073 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.079 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 61.42%
1-1 @ 10.53% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.401 -0.4)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22.19%
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.233 -0.23)
1-2 @ 4.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.37% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.22% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.13% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 16.38%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Leamington
2-1
Southport
Turner (17'), Kelly-Evans (87')
Heath (23')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Southport
1-0
Leamington
Watson (15')
Apr 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Southport
1-1
Leamington
Tharme (45+2')
Turner (90+3' pen.)
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Leamington
1-1
Southport
Kelly-Evans (9')
Carver (35')
May 15, 2021 3pm